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New Study Establishes Valuation Benchmarks for Internet
Companies
Bond & Pecaro's "CyberValuation" Profiles 595 Mergers, Acquisitions
& IPOs
WASHINGTON, DC, July 6, 1999—Bond & Pecaro, a Washington,
D.C.-based consulting firm, has completed an in-depth study on the
valuation of Internet companies. Everyone from the boardroom to
the water cooler knows that Internet firms have been commanding
astronomical premiums over standard measures of value. The question
is, how much is enough, how much is justified? Bond & Pecaro's published
report, CyberValuation, analyzes 595 recent transactions
in an effort to highlight trends and offer a toolkit of practical
measures of valuation for shareholders, CFO's, lenders, investors,
and industry analysts.
"As we became involved in the growing flurry of mergers & acquisitions
of Internet companies in recent years, we realized that everyone
from CFO's, to casual investors is grappling with valuation standards
for this emerging industry," says Tim Pecaro, principal at Bond
& Pecaro. Bond & Pecaro has provided financial consulting and valuation
services to the communications and media industries since 1986.
"This is very much like what we saw in the mid-1980's in the cellular
telephone industry ¶ until the industry matures, 'value' is much
more an estimation of potential than a demonstration of actual financial
success."
The analysis has developed revenue, subscriber and monthly unique
visitor valuation multiples for ISP's (Internet Service Providers),
portals, Internet retailers, and business-to-business e-commerce
ventures. Transaction profiles include details such as purchase
price, offering proceeds, market capitalization, revenues, and subscribers
or unique users of the Internet entity. The report also includes
information regarding transaction structure where available and
abridged financial statements for selected companies within each
sector.
Bond & Pecaro principal Jeff Anderson promises, "New
transactions affect the benchmarks we've developed on a daily basis—we
are committed to publishing regular updates and research studies
for the benefit of our clients and other interested parties."
SUMMARY FINDINGS: Bond & Pecaro's "CyberValuation" Report
The study highlights value creation opportunities inherent in
the recent round of Internet IPOs. The IPO market is ascribing large
premiums to Internet companies that garner a critical mass of subscribers,
viewers, or customers. In many instances, the IPO valuation multiples
substantially exceed the multiples paid for Internet companies in
asset or stock acquisitions. In contrast to many industries, these
multiples have tended to grow in the Internet field, even as the
industry begins to mature.
Portal entrepreneurs have truly pioneered a new business segment.
Portal revenue and operating profit potential can be particularly
difficult to predict at this early stage of development, but buyers
and investors are willing to pay multiples of 29 to 37 times revenues
or $285 to $340 per monthly unique visitor.
Online retailers and certain business-to-business entities also
fall into this high growth group. Internet retail revenue multiples
in the 30 to 36 range are commonplace. The multiples paid for such
businesses as eBay.com and Priceline.com substantially exceed this
range and reflect a radically different marketplace for goods and
services or a reordering of the retail distribution pipeline.
As a group, the weighted average multiples paid in ISP transactions
were lower, typically within the 5 to 7 times revenue multiple and
$920 to $1,400 per subscriber range. Buyers and investors appear
to view ISPs in a similar context to other subscriber-based businesses
such as cable television, cellular telephone, and newspapers.
Investors have also ascribed more conservative multiples (12 to
13 times trailing revenues) to the business-to-business e-commerce
entities. In certain instances, companies in the business-to-business
sector are quite similar to traditional companies, but simply utilize
a more efficient transaction and delivery model. |